As Expected, Severe WX Outbreak Ongoing, HIGH Risk Even Issued

A large severe weather outbreak is ongoing in the central Planes, and with extreme instability and wind shear lots of storms are quickly developing, and a lot of them are trying to drop tornadoes. This will continue this evening. Here is my forecast:

The organized clusters of super cell thunderstorms in northern KS, eastern NB, and getting into parts of west IA will continue to bring a tornado threat, especially with newly developing storms. Some strong tornadoes are still possible through the evening. However, as time goes on the storms will organize into a complex of severe storms, or a Mesoscale Convective System (MCS). This will rapidly move ENE throughout the night, through IA, southern MN, northern MO, and into IL and WI. It will pose a damaging wind and flooding rain threat throughout the night. With the strong moist southerly flow persisting over the Planes from the Gulf, storms will continue back building over night, so parts of KS, MO, and southern IA, and SW NB could see hours of heavy rain along with a severe threat over night, as the storms continue to train. I will have tomorrow's outlook soon.