A Lot to Talk About!

We have a major severe weather outbreak and the chance of flooding to talk about this evening. Thunderstorms are already developing over Indiana, and the northern portion of Ohio will see storms later tonight in response to a warm front coming through and then more in the morning as a cold front approaches, and I can't rule out a scattered storm anywhere else in Ohio tonight. Nothing severe but enough to wake you up and produce heavy rain and small hail. Tomorrow is interesting. The question is how far the front will go through Ohio. Looks like NW corner of the state will see the front go by, so they will cool off in the afternoon. It looks like the same thing right along the lake shore. Otherwise, looks like the rest of the state may stay mild and in the upper 50s/lower 60s all day. There could be scattered areas of thunderstorms moving through all day, especially northern and northwestern Ohio. Then tomorrow evening is when some bad weather could happen. We will see a wave of low pressure ride along the front. This will give us heavy rain, and maybe severe weather, especially the southern 2/3 of Ohio is where the severe threat will be elavated. This won't (hopefully) be a significant severe weather outbreak for Ohio, but definitely points southwest. The potential is there for a devastating afternoon/evening of tornadoes and high winds, especially the high risk area on my map, and even points south of that will probably see a lot of severe weather. But again, the main threat for the northern half of the state will be the very heavy rain. 1-2" will fall there tomorrow night, and with whatever we get on top of that tonight and tomorrow could lead to some flooding, especially since a lot of the rivers are frozen. We will chill down to more February like levels the rest of the week...