Sunday evening looks to be busy in Oklahoma, Kansas, and even into Missouri. A warm front will be the focal point of perhaps a mini tornado outbreak. Why? Along and just north of the warm front surface winds will be from the SE, but winds just aloft will be blasting SSW at 50-60 knots, creating a ton of wind shear. I do not think there will be widespread thunderstorms, as it won't be extremely warm and unstable and moist, but, there will be at least isolated thunderstorms and any storms will be capable of producing tornadoes. This looks like if there is a mini outbreak it will get going Sunday after dark. Monday there will likely be a much larger outbreak. More details tomorrow.
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