As I have been saying all weekend, we will definetly be seeing a spring like storm this week, with warmer, more humid air, heavy, flooding rains, and severe weather especially in the south. IMO this will not be a HUGE severe weather outbreak, but will be decent, with damaging winds and tornadoes being the biggest severe aspects, although any strong storm may pack hail with it. The severe weather outbreak will be fueled by cold, winter like air crashing into spring like warm air, and the strong jet stream energy associated with the cold front adding the threat for strong winds and tornadoes. This will not be as large an outbreak as we have seen a couple times this winter, because the air behind the front will not be as cold so there will be less instability, and the jet stream energy won't be as extreme but as I said earlier we still will need to watch out for a moderate sized severe weather outbreak. Another major concern is flooding, as the cold front will be moving rather slowly with waves of low pressure riding along it, so areas could see an extended period of heavy rain. We will have to watch a corridor from Texas all the way into the lower Great Lakes for the potential of 3-6" of RAIN, on top of already saturated ground. That always spells trouble. So, stay tuned on this one as we could be talking about severe weather and major flooding over the next few days.
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