Friday Severe

Tomorrow will be similar to today. Not much more than a slight risk. Here is what I expect to happen:
-Pre-frontal trough will move through northern Ohio/PA tomorrow. In the afternoon this could strengthen into some embedded hail storms and maybe even a few damaging wind gusts over northern PA/SW New York.
-In the dry slot again clouds look like they will dominate. This will really limit the severe threat. There are two areas I have heightened concern for and I will get to that in a minute. But, in the dry slot I expect only isolated storms, a few of which could go severe. But they will be limited in numbers, because it looks like as today clouds will limit instability and keep a lot of storms from developing. But, there are small chances of either some storms breaking the cap despite the clouds or the clouds clearing. Both of these possibilities are small but if they happen we could have some tornado reports.
-Michigan hatched area: I think that area will clear out in the morning and early afternoon, and as the warm front lifts into that area it will bring added wind shear and it could be warm enough for severe severe storms to fire along the warms front. It appears at least a couple of tornadoes will form in this area.
-Ohio/PA hatched area: This is where the best jet stream energy will be IMO. I think this could help some isolated storms develop despite the clouds, and these storms could easily go severe. I do not necessarily think this area will clear out like Michigan might, but if in the outside chance it does look for several tornadoes in this area.

Another update tomorrow afternoon especially if conditions warrant.