Saturday, May 10, 2008

9:20PM Nowcast:


There are three areas of concern, all of which are or soon will be seeing organized severe weather. One area which has been north of the warm front in AR/TN/MI, and has gotten much more organized with several super cell storms in it. This area appears to be trying to orgainize into a MCS (Mesoscale Convective System) so the damaging straight line wind threat will increase in addition to the ongoing tornado threat in that area. Along the cold front in AR there are still scattered storms, some of which are severe, but in northern AR along the cold front the threat has diminished some as there has been less daytime heating there. Expect storms to erupt in southern AR/eastern TX as the cold front continues to overtake the dryline. All modes of severe will be possible in that area.

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