Wednesday, May 21, 2008

Thursday/Thursday Night Severe


Disscussion: For this map did not take any gambles, took what the models and SPC said and went with it since everything the models are showing look pretty straight foreward and in agreement with the SPC, so my outlook is close to the SPC outlook...A cold front will be pushing ENE into TX, OK, KS, and Nebraska. This, along with high CAPEs, dew points, and LIs should get activity going along the cold front tomorrow afternoon. This could get severe with hail and high winds. Tomorrow evening, the jet stream looks to stregnthen across the region in question, and this will enhance the damaing wind and tornado threat. The area where the moderate risk has been painted in is where I believe that the stongest wind shear and instability will best coincide. This area will probably see scattered strong to severe storms starting late tomorrow afternoon, with all modes of severe weather possible.

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