Tuesday, May 27, 2008

Current Severe WX Situation




We have a couple areas of severe concern this evening, western TX/maybe SE OK, and parts of the NE/Mid Atlantic.

Western TX/SE OK: As I said yesterday there is plenty of moisture and instability in this area, which is fueling storms, with large hail and damaging winds. However, wind shear is rather weak in this area so as I said yesterday just a very small tornado threat in this area. So, this evening scattered to at times widespread storms will continue in the same general area they are in now, perhaps spreading east-southeast a bit. The threats will continue to be large hail, damaging winds, isolated flooding, and maybe a renegade tornado. The storms will continue through this evening, but will slowly diminish later tonight.

Southern Northeast/Mid Atlantic: A cold front is sliding south through the area. As I said last night instability is marginal and wind shear is very low. But, with a strong cold front coming through storms have fired along the front this afternoon, with heavy rains, gusty winds, and dangerous lightning. But, severe weather with the front in the NE/Mid Atlantic has been very limited up to this point, and is expected to remain very limited this evening. The storms will continue to push SE tonight as the front pushes south, but should really weaken after sun down.

I will update tomorrow's forecasts soon.

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