Tonights Severe Weather Disscusion

I have updated my map for tonights severe weather, shaving some off the eastern edge of the risk zone do to models slowing down the front some. Otherwise everything is going according to plan. Here is what I expect to happen tonight: A few super cells will try to develop along the dry line from SE Nebraska into central OK, and maybe extreme northern TX. These super cells will likely be few and far between, because of the strong cap, but with the high CAPEs and wind shear aloft any storms that do develop could be severe and tornado producing along the dry line this evening. Later tonight, after 3z the cold front will begin overtaking the dry line. At this point the moisture will be a little more abundant, and the cold front will likely provide enough lift to break the cap. This will likely cause storms to break out along the cold front from far northern Texas all the way up into far SE Nebraska between 3z and 6z. The tornado threat will be slightly elevated with these storms, but with the loss of day time heating should not get out of control. These storms will pack a damaging wind threat with the strong jet stream energy that will be blowing over the cold front at this time. I will have more on tomorrows threat later.