Monday, May 26, 2008

Tuesday/Tuesday Night Severe

Well, tomorrow looks like things will really calm down tomorrow severe weather wise. We have some areas where there is a small risk of severe weather. In the northeast, there will be a cold front coming southward. To me, this really looks non-impressive severe wise for the NE. That slight risk is a very low end slight risk in my opinion. Instability tomorrow will be OK, with some peaks of sun expected, and moisture will be OK with dew points in the lower to maybe middle 60s. So, with the front coming through in the afternoon some showers and storms will develop, but I do not think many of them will get severe. Again, instablity will be OK, but not great, and there will really be no wind shear in the Northeast tomorrow. So, maybe some small hail and gusty downdraft winds with the strongest storms in the northeast tomorrow. In the south, a wave of low pressure will be riding along the same cold front. However, things in the south are also not great for severe weather. There will be almost no wind shear, however, moisture and instability will be plentiful in the southern Mississippi Valley area slight risk. So, I think that scattered showers/storms will develop in that area in the afternoon, with hail and isolated damaging winds in the stronger storms in the south. So tomorrow, everyone will get a chance to catch there breath with really no threat for tornadoes anywhere in the continental US.

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